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LMFX Daily Forex Outlook

Date: 13.07.2026

Market Sentiment

Markets opened defensively after renewed US-Iran attacks and conflicting claims over the Strait of Hormuz lifted oil prices. The initial response supported the dollar and bond yields as traders considered renewed inflation pressure and tighter central-bank policy. The greenback later surrendered part of its advance, leaving currency pairs volatile. Asian equities weakened, while European stocks opened lower. Today’s dominant drivers are Middle East escalation, energy-price volatility, and positioning before Tuesday’s US CPI report and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s testimony.

Previous Session Recap

Friday brought modest Wall Street gains, softer oil and a stronger yen, while the dollar remained broadly stable.

Top Overnight Global Forex Headlines

HeadlineImpact
US-Iran strikes intensifiedOil rose
Hormuz concerns returnedInflation risk increased
Asian tech shares fellRisk appetite weakened

Forex Focus of the Day

Oil-led inflation expectations may drive the dollar, yields and risk-sensitive currencies.

Key Economic Events

TimeEvent
12:30 ETFed Waller speaks
14:00 ETUS federal budget
19:00 BSTBoE Pill speaks

Major Forex Currency Outlooks

InstrumentSpotBias
EUR/USD1.1430Volatile
GBP/USD1.3390Cautious
USD/JPY162.10Firm
AUD/USD0.6940Soft

Commodities Watch

InstrumentSpotBias
Gold$4,082Pressured
Silver$59.10Soft
Brent$77.50Elevated

Key Forex Technical Zones

InstrumentSupportResistance
EUR/USD1.1400 / 1.13851.1445 / 1.1470
GBP/USD1.33651.3410
USD/JPY161.70162.35
AUD/USD0.69250.6950
Gold$4,050$4,110
Silver$58.10$59.80
Brent$77.30$79.80

Trader’s Takeaway

Expect headline-sensitive trading. Oil and yields should lead direction, while positioning may turn cautious before Tuesday’s US inflation data.

About LMFX

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Disclaimer

This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or investment recommendation. Trading leveraged products such as Forex and CFDs involves risk and may not be suitable for all traders. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please read LMFX’s full ‘Risk Disclosure Statement’. Always trade responsibly.

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