'/%3E%3C/svg%3E){kind=small}
'/%3E%3Cpath%20fill='%23b2b2b2'%20d='M241%20382q0%2016%2017%2026%2017%2011%2042%2011t42-11q16-11%2017-26V269H241'/%3E%3Cpath%20fill='%239f7e00'%20d='M241%20379q0%2014%208%2023%209%209%2021%209%2014%200%2021-9%209-9%209-23V269h-59'/%3E%3Cpath%20d='M241%20339v-70h59v110q0%2014-9%2023l-6%205v-68h-15v72q-8%200-14-4v-68zm59%2040c0%2022%2015%2032%2029%2032%2021%200%2030-18%2030-32v-40h-59'/%3E%3Cpath%20fill='%239f7e00'%20d='M266%20277v5h2v12h-3v-5h2v-5h-9v5h2v5h-4v9h3v18h-5v10h34v-10h-5v-18h3v-9h-4v-5h2v-5h-9v5h2v5h-3v-12h2v-5zm42%20101q0%2010%206%2017%206%206%2015%207%2010-1%2016-7%206-7%206-17v-29h-43'/%3E%3Ccircle%20fill='%230044ad'%20cx='329.5'%20cy='372'%20r='6'/%3E%3Cellipse%20fill='%230044ad'%20cx='300'%20cy='340'%20rx='16'%20ry='21'/%3E%3C/svg%3E){kind=small}
'/%3E%3C/g%3E%3Cuse%20href='%23c'%20transform='matrix(-1%200%200%201%20720%200)'/%3E%3C/svg%3E){kind=small}
Date: 09.11.2026
Market Sentiment
Risk appetite is recovering Monday as Asian chip shares follow Wall Street’s Friday bounce, but the gains are uneven. Taiwan rallied after regulators tightened short-selling rules, while South Korea struggled to recover from Friday’s circuit breaker. The dollar has eased from its payrolls-driven surge, though markets still assign about an 80% chance to a December Federal Reserve rate increase. Crude is lower after President Donald Trump signaled restraint on Iran while talks progress. Reports of attacks on shipping near the Strait of Hormuz keep supply risk in play, leaving the equity rebound exposed to a reversal in oil.
Previous Session Recap
U.S. payrolls rose 165,000 in October, lifting the dollar index about 0.7% Friday. The Nasdaq-100 rose 1.35% after Thursday’s 6.36% selloff, while the S&P 500 gained 0.31% and the Dow fell 0.46%. South Korea’s KOSPI lost 6.02% after a 20-minute trading halt. Germany’s DAX fell 1.92%.
Top Overnight Global Forex Headlines
- The kiwi led major currencies higher despite uncertainty after New Zealand’s close election.
- China’s annual producer inflation accelerated to 5.7%, while consumer inflation slowed to 0.7%.
- Japan’s Nikkei closed 2.3% higher, while South Korea’s KOSPI gave back its early gains.
- German exports rose a stronger-than-expected 2.0% in September.
Forex Focus of the Day
EUR/USD has bounced from Friday’s 1.1132 low. A sustained move through 1.1200 would strengthen the recovery. Today’s U.S. consumer inflation expectations survey could move Treasury yields ahead of Tuesday’s CPI.
Key Economic Events
| Time (GMT) | Event | Currency | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 GMT | German trade balance, released | EUR | Medium |
| 09:30 GMT | Eurozone Sentix investor confidence | EUR | Medium |
| 13:40 GMT | Fed’s Bowman discusses community banking | USD | Low |
| 15:00 GMT | Chicago Fed President Goolsbee speaks | USD | Medium |
| 16:00 GMT | New York Fed consumer inflation expectations | USD | Medium |
| 17:25 GMT | Bank of England Governor Bailey speaks | GBP | Medium |
Major Forex Currency Outlooks
| Pair | Price | Bias | Main Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 1.1155 | Cautious bearish | December Fed hike bets cap rebound |
| GBP/USD | 1.3371 | Neutral | Bailey speech tests sterling’s rebound |
| USD/JPY | 158.33 | Neutral | Lower Treasury yields trim dollar gains |
| USD/CAD | 1.4113 | Neutral | Broad dollar easing offsets softer crude |
| AUD/USD | 0.6892 | Cautious bullish | Asian equity recovery lifts risk appetite |
| NZD/USD | 0.5587 | Cautious bullish | Risk rebound outweighs election uncertainty |
| NZD/JPY | 88.45 | Bullish | Kiwi leads as chip shares rebound |
| EUR/GBP | 0.8342 | Neutral | German export surprise, Sentix and Bailey |
Energy & Commodities Watch
| Instrument | Price | Bias | Main Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| USOIL, WTI Crude Oil | $89.67 | Bearish | Iran talks ease immediate supply fears |
| UKOIL, Brent Crude Oil | $96.61 | Bearish | Reduced strike risk pressures front-month prices |
| NGAS, Natural Gas | $3.033 | Cautious bullish | Early gains challenge Friday’s high |
| Gold | $4,123.46 | Bullish | Softer oil and lower yields support bullion |
| Silver | $52.57 | Bullish | Silver tracks gold’s rally |
Energy benchmarks are December WTI, January Brent and December Henry Hub futures. Metals are spot per troy ounce. Above-average U.S. gas storage could limit the rebound.
Indices & Large-Cap Stocks Watch
| Instrument | Price | Bias | Main Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA100 (Nasdaq-100 cash) | 26,989.99 | Cautious rebound | U.S. chip shares recover after Thursday’s rout |
| TAIEX (cash) | 41,661.70 | Cautious bullish | Short-selling curbs and TSMC rebound |
USA100 shows Friday’s cash benchmark close. Nasdaq-100 futures rose early Monday. Taiwan gained 4.94% after last week’s 12.2% drop. CoreWeave’s Tuesday results will test sentiment around AI spending.
Key Market Technical Zones
| Instrument | Support | Resistance | Key Condition |
|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | 1.1130 | 1.1200 | Below support renews selling pressure |
| GBP/USD | 1.3350 | 1.3400 | Breakout extends sterling recovery |
| USD/JPY | 158.00 | 158.50 | Break sets near-term direction |
| USD/CAD | 1.4070 | 1.4140 | Resistance break favors the U.S. dollar |
| AUD/USD | 0.6860 | 0.6910 | Above resistance extends gains |
| NZD/USD | 0.5530 | 0.5650 | Holding support sustains rebound |
| NZD/JPY | 87.40 | 88.50 | Breakout confirms kiwi strength |
| EUR/GBP | 0.8335 | 0.8355 | Bailey speech may trigger breakout |
| USOIL, WTI Crude Oil | $89 | $91 | Above resistance eases pressure |
| UKOIL, Brent Crude Oil | $96 | $98.30 | Support break deepens pullback |
| NGAS, Natural Gas | $3.00 | $3.05 | Breakout confirms gas recovery |
| Gold | $4,100 | $4,135 | Holding support preserves momentum |
| Silver | $52.00 | $53.10 | Breakout extends metals rally |
| USA100 (Nasdaq-100 cash) | 26,600 | 27,300 | Above Friday’s high strengthens rebound |
| TAIEX (cash) | 41,575 | 42,350 | Above Monday’s early high extends rebound |
Trader’s Takeaway
Renewed disruption near Hormuz could derail the chip rebound. A Nasdaq-100 cash break above 27,300 would strengthen the recovery. EUR/USD below 1.1130 after today’s U.S. inflation expectations survey would signal renewed dollar demand.
About LMFX
LMFX is a trusted global brokerage providing access to Forex, commodities, indices, and precious metals. Known for its fast execution and competitive spreads, LMFX offers the MT4 trading platform, flexible account types, and a variety of funding options. With dedicated customer support and a focus on transparency and reliability, LMFX serves traders at all experience levels worldwide.
Disclaimer
This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or investment recommendation. Trading leveraged products such as Forex and CFDs involves risk and may not be suitable for all traders. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please read LMFX’s full ‘Risk Disclosure Statement’. Always trade responsibly.
