According to Statistics Canada Real gross domestic product (GDP) edged up 0.1% in July, after a similar increase in June (+0.1%). Growth in goods-producing industries (+0.5%) was partially offset by a decline in services-producing industries (-0.1%), with 11 of 20 industrial sectors increasing in July.
Advance information indicates that real GDP was essentially unchanged in August. Increases in retail and wholesale trade, as well as in agriculture, forestry, fishing, and hunting were offset by decreases in manufacturing and oil and gas extraction. Owing to its preliminary nature, this estimate will be updated on October 28 with the release of the official GDP data for August.
The mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction sector expanded 1.9% in July, following slight declines in the previous two months, with growth in all three subsectors.
Per the US Department of Labor in the week ending September 24, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 193,000, a decrease of 16,000 from the previous week’s revised level. The previous week’s level was revised down by 4,000 from 213,000 to 209,000. The 4-week moving average was 207,000, a decrease of 8,750 from the previous week’s revised average. The previous week’s average was revised down by 1,000 from 216,750 to 215,750.
The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 1.0 percent for the week ending September 17,unchanged from the previous week’s unrevised rate. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending September 17 was 1,347,000, a decrease of 29,000 from the previous week’s revised level. The previous week’s level was revised down by 3,000 from 1,379,000 to 1,376,000. The 4-week moving average was 1,381,250, a decrease of 22,500 from the previous week’s revised average. The previous week’s average was revised down by 1,000 from 1,404,750 to 1,403,750.
Personal income increased $71.6 billion (0.3 percent) in August, according to estimates released today by the Bureau of Economic Analysis (tables 3 and 5). Disposable personal income (DPI) increased $67.6 billion (0.4 percent) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE) increased $67.5 billion (0.4 percent).
The PCE price index increased 0.3 percent. Excluding food and energy, the PCE price index increased 0.6 percent. Real DPI increased 0.1 percent in August and Real PCE increased 0.1 percent; goods decreased 0.2 percent and services increased 0.2 percent.
Real gross domestic product (GDP) decreased at an annual rate of 0.6 percent in the second quarter of 2022, according to the “third” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the first quarter, real GDP decreased 1.6 percent (same as previously published).
The “third” estimate of GDP released today is based on more complete source data than were available for the “second” estimate issued last month. In the second estimate, the decrease in real GDP was also 0.6 percent. The update primarily reflected an upward revision to consumer spending that was offset by a downward revision to exports. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, were revised down.
The decrease in real GDP reflected decreases in private inventory investment, residential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, that were partly offset by increases in exports and consumer spending. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, increased.
